APPROACH TO THE EVALUATION OF UNCERTAINTY IN FORECASTING PROBLEMS
Abstract
The paper shows the classification of uncertainties in solving problems of forecasting. Uncertainties in
solving prediction manifested in the form of probability distributions in the form of subjective probabilities in the form
of interval uncertainty. The features of statistical and structural uncertainties, uncertainties in the absence of observations,
the uncertainty of the amplitude type. And also consider the uncertainty of parameters predictive model. The
proposed methods of overcoming them.